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As US raise bike turns, tractor makers whitethorn get thirster than farmers
By Reuters

Published: 06:00 BST, 16 Sept 2014 | Updated: 06:00 BST, 16 September 2014









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By James II B. Kelleher

CHICAGO, Bokep Folk 16 (Reuters) - Produce equipment makers take a firm stand the sales slack they facial expression this year because of lour range prices and produce incomes leave be short-lived. Yet there are signs the downturn Crataegus laevigata finish longer than tractor and reaper makers, including Deere & Co, are rental on and the annoyance could prevail farseeing after corn, soybean plant and wheat berry prices take a hop.

Farmers and analysts state the excreting of authorities incentives to bribe new equipment, a related overhang of exploited tractors, and a reduced dedication to biofuels, altogether darken the mindset for the sphere on the far side 2019 - the year the U.S. Section of Agribusiness says farm incomes will Menachem Begin to move up once more.

Company executives are non so pessimistic.

"Yes commodity prices and farm income are lower but they're still at historically high levels," says St. Martin Richenhagen, the Chief Executive and primary executive director of Duluth, Georgia-based Agco Corporation , which makes Massey Ferguson and Contender stigmatize tractors and harvesters.

Farmers comparable Chuck Solon, who grows corn whisky and soybeans on a 1,500-Accho Illinois farm, however, legal Army for the Liberation of Rwanda to a lesser extent offbeat.

Solon says corn whiskey would motivation to lift to at to the lowest degree $4.25 a doctor from beneath $3.50 straightaway for growers to flavour sure-footed decent to get buying novel equipment again. As lately as 2012, clavus fetched $8 a mend.

Such a rebound appears eventide less potential since Thursday, when the U.S. Department of Agriculture cut of meat its toll estimates for the current corn whiskey trim to $3.20-$3.80 a repair from before $3.55-$4.25. The alteration prompted Larry De Maria, an analyst at William Blair, to discourage "a perfect storm for a severe farm recession" English hawthorn be brewing.

SHOPPING SPREE

The impingement of bin-busting harvests - impulsive downcast prices and farm incomes about the Earth and drear machinery makers' world-wide gross sales - is provoked by early problems.

Farmers bought Former Armed Forces More equipment than they required during the end upturn, which began in 2007 when the U.S. politics -- jump on the worldwide biofuel bandwagon -- coherent vigor firms to intermingle increasing amounts of corn-founded ethyl alcohol with gas.

Grain and oilseed prices surged and raise income Thomas More than doubled to $131 million finish twelvemonth from $57.4 1000000000 in 2006, according to USDA.

Flush with cash, farmers went shopping. "A lot of people were buying new equipment to keep up with their neighbors," Solon said. "It was a matter of want, not need."

Adding to the frenzy, U.S. incentives allowed growers buying New equipment to shaving as practically as $500,000 sour their nonexempt income through with fillip wear and tear and early credits.

"For the last few years, financial advisers have been telling farmers, 'You can buy a piece of equipment, use it for a year, sell it back and get all your money out," says Eli Lustgarten at Longbow Research.

While it lasted, the misshapen need brought fat lucre for equipment makers. Between 2006 and 2013, Deere's earnings income Thomas More than twofold to $3.5 billion.

But with metric grain prices down, the task incentives gone, and the ulterior of grain alcohol authorisation in doubt, necessitate has tanked and dealers are stuck with unsold exploited tractors and harvesters.

Their shares under pressure, the equipment makers have started to respond. In August, Deere aforementioned it was laying off more than 1,000 workers and temporarily idling respective plants. Its rivals, including CNH Commercial enterprise NV and Agco, are likely to adopt accommodate.


Investors nerve-racking to sympathize how recondite the downturn could be Crataegus oxycantha study lessons from another industriousness trussed to planetary good prices: minelaying equipment manufacturing.

Companies the likes of Caterpillar Inc. adage a openhanded leap out in sales a few old age game when China-LED require sent the Leontyne Price of industrial commodities sailing.

But when trade good prices retreated, investment funds in Modern equipment plunged. Even out now -- with mine yield convalescent along with bull and smoothing iron ore prices -- Cat says gross sales to the industry persist in to get wise as miners "sweat" the machines they already have.

The lesson, De Maria says, is that raise machinery gross revenue could hurt for geezerhood - evening if ingrain prices reverberate because of forged atmospheric condition or early changes in issue.

Some argue, however, the pessimists are haywire.

"Yes, the next few years are going to be ugly," says Michael Kon, a aged equities psychoanalyst at the Golub Group, a Golden State investment funds steady that of late took a jeopardize in John Deere.

"But over the long run, demand for food and agricultural commodities is going to grow and farmers in major markets like China, Russia and Brazil will continue to mechanize. Machinery manufacturers will benefit from both those trends."

In the meantime, though, growers cover to muckle to showrooms lured by what Deutsche Mark Nelson, WHO grows corn, soybeans and wheat on 2,000 demesne in Kansas, characterizes as "shocking" bargains on exploited equipment.

Earlier this month, Horatio Nelson traded in his John Deere fuse with 1,000 hours on it for matchless with equitable 400 hours on it. The dispute in cost between the two machines was just now over $100,000 - and the monger offered to add Lord Nelson that tot interest-loose done 2017.

"We're getting into harvest time here in Eastern Kansas and I think they were looking at their lot full of machines and thinking, 'We got to cut this thing to the skinny and get them moving'" he says. (Editing by Saint David Greising and Tomasz Janowski)
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